Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 3.243769 3.594225 3.973778 4.416550 4.920336 5.477384 6.142236
2025-06-15 2.811274 3.296628 3.859751 4.565999 5.434492 6.475918 7.831747
2025-06-22 2.463804 3.006839 3.668543 4.543327 5.683093 7.136900 9.162810
2025-06-29 2.203381 2.774345 3.497516 4.494824 5.856977 7.685977 10.386272
2025-07-06 1.933661 2.494257 3.225989 4.269290 5.749002 7.820386 11.028023
2025-07-13 1.800314 2.376645 3.151063 4.291677 5.970718 8.421165 12.404476
2025-07-20 1.707562 2.302918 3.124741 4.372642 6.275658 9.166622 14.094395
2025-07-27 1.631607 2.244199 3.111142 4.465579 6.601127 9.972196 15.989493
2025-08-03 1.555601 2.177960 3.078831 4.523409 6.872386 10.715783 17.883169
2025-08-10 1.480290 2.106124 3.030836 4.549526 7.090594 11.390461 19.749910
2025-08-17 1.373949 1.979990 2.890265 4.414265 7.023978 11.563248 20.698015
2025-08-24 1.297215 1.893630 2.804409 4.359344 7.085952 11.965372 22.145430
2025-08-31 1.230745 1.820457 2.736467 4.332288 7.200700 12.489935 23.957739
2025-09-07 1.205846 1.811000 2.769733 4.479894 7.644714 13.692211 27.426995
2025-09-14 1.149580 1.747373 2.709365 4.457972 7.770687 14.286795 29.663017
2025-09-21 1.093412 1.680344 2.638485 4.410602 7.841726 14.776363 31.744876
2025-09-28 1.010995 1.565398 2.479368 4.190142 7.552841 14.479161 31.866710
2025-10-05 0.976656 1.528905 2.452510 4.212029 7.748635 15.241887 34.792437
2025-10-12 0.954081 1.510859 2.456248 4.291178 8.068302 16.318433 38.769455
2025-10-19 0.934620 1.496889 2.465966 4.382023 8.421258 17.519196 43.368142
2025-10-26 0.911094 1.474422 2.458745 4.438546 8.705816 18.599074 47.886911
2025-11-02 0.884545 1.445130 2.437093 4.464071 8.924172 19.548698 52.255042
2025-11-09 0.838060 1.377990 2.341588 4.331865 8.773381 19.552777 53.649866